Recently, LatestPollResults's poll-based methodology was showing a 0.1% chance of a Trump victory. As many of the polling organizations release their final polls, Trump's chances of victory - perhaps predictably - are rising sharply.
For full disclosure, here is the latest poll per our criteria in each state that we are plugging into our model. Although Biden is still heavily favored, as of this moment, if Trump wins each poll he is leading in, he will be reelected.
