Monday, October 22, 2018

Oct 22 update

From 10/21 and 10/22 we have the following movement:

SENATE
Polls
10/21 FL Nelson +5MO Hawley +1
10/22 FL Scott +0.3, MN Klobuchar +23, MNsp Smith +6, CA Feinstein +18, VT Sanders +41
Odds Democratic control: 0.0%

PredictIt Markets
General buying in Democrat contracts:  
Biggest changes: FL 55%D up from 47%D, NV 51%D up from 43%D
Odds Democratic control: 1.3% up from 0.6%

Analyst-based
No changes

HOUSE

RCP:
10/21 IL-14    Toss Up  »»» Lean R
10/21 FL-06   Safe R   »»» Likely R 
10/21 TX-22   Safe R   »»» Likely R 
Odds based on RCP's ratings: 77.5%D down from 80.4%D