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There were 3 new Senate polls and one analyst switch in the House:
SENATE
FL Scott +1.6
MO McCaskill / Hawley TIED
NV Heller +3.3
Republicans currently leading or not up in 52 seats and tied in AZ and MO.
Projected seats: 52.8
Projected seats: 52.8
Poll-based Odds for Senate Control: 2.8%D
Market-based (PredictIt)
Most significant changes:
MO McCaskill jumps from 40% probability to 46%.
NV Rosen jumps from 57% probability to 61%.
TN Bredesen jumps from 16% chance of winning to 21%.
Republicans currently favored in races to give them 52 seats and IN tied
Projected seats: 53.2
Market-based Odds for Senate Control 1.3%D
Analyst-based Senate ratings changes
No changes
HOUSE
Market-based (PredictIt)
Seats currently favored: 226D - 209R
Analyst-based House ratings changes
RCP
SC-01 | Likely R | »»» | Lean R |
Analyst-based Odds for House Control now all point to the Democrats:
77.8%D Cook
71.4%D Inside Elections
86.8%D Sabato
82.3%D RCP
71.4%D Inside Elections
86.8%D Sabato
82.3%D RCP