Wednesday, October 24, 2018

Oct 24 update - evening


16 House ratings changes from Sabato's Crystal Ball:


House ratings changes

Oct. 25, 2018
Member/DistrictOld RatingNew Rating
Debbie Lesko (R, AZ-8)Safe RepublicanLikely Republican
Jim Costa (D, CA-16)Safe DemocraticLikely Democratic
Scott Tipton (R, CO-3)Likely RepublicanLeans Republican
Vern Buchanan (R, FL-16)Leans RepublicanLikely Republican
Brian Mast (R, FL-18)Likely RepublicanLeans Republican
FL-6 Open (DeSantis, R)Likely RepublicanLeans Republican
Karen Handel (R, GA-6)Likely RepublicanLeans Republican
Mike Bost (R, IL-12)Toss-upLeans Republican
Justin Amash (R, MI-3)Safe RepublicanLikely Republican
Bill Huizenga (R, MI-2)Safe RepublicanLikely Republican
Fred Upton (R, MI-6)Likely RepublicanLeans Republican
John Katko (R, NY-24)Likely RepublicanLeans Republican
Peter King (R, NY-2)Safe RepublicanLikely Republican
Elise Stefanik (R, NY-21)Safe RepublicanLikely Republican
Scott Taylor (R, VA-2)Toss-upLeans Republican
VA-5 Open (Garrett, R)Leans RepublicanToss-up
Odds based on Sabato's ratings: 82.8%D up from 81.2%D


Oct 24 update

SENATE

Polls
FL Nelson +4
NJ Menendez +5

Projected Senate seats: 53.6R - 46.4D
Poll-based odds for Democratic Senate: remain 0.0%D

PredictIt markets
largest changes: 
MS Hyde-Smith 92%R up from 88%R 
NJ Menendez   78%D down from 82%D

Projected Senate seats: 53.7R - 46.3D
Market-based odds for Democratic Senate: 0.6%D down from 0.8%D

Analyst ratings
No changes

HOUSE


RCP
MN-01 Lean R »»» Toss Up
Odds based on RCP ratings: 77.5%D up from 74.2%D