Oct 31st update and summary

In the last few days we've had fresh polls in 16 different Senate races ...

SENATE

Polls
AZ Sinema +4
CA Feinstein +9
CT Murphy +20
FL Nelson +1.4
MA Warren +22

ME King +13
MI Stabenow +17
MT Tester +3
ND Cramer +9
NJ Menendez +5

NV Rosen +3
NM Heinrich +16
OH Brown +6
TN Blackburn +5
TX Cruz +10
WI Baldwin +11

Most significant changes: 
AZ Sinema, now favored.
NV Rosen, now favored.

Republicans currently ahead or not up in 52 seats.
Projected seats: 52.8Poll-based Odds for Senate Control: 0.0%D


PredictIt markets
Most significant changes:
AZ Sinema jumps from 37% probability to now favored at 52%.
NV Rosen jumps from 45% probability to now favored at 54%.
WV Manchin jumps from 75% chance of winning to 80%.

Republicans currently favored races to give them 52 seats.
Projected seats: 53.5
Market-based Odds for Senate Control 0.8%D


Analyst Senate ratings changes:
No changes
Analyst-based Odds for Senate Control:
1.6%D Cook 
0.0%D Inside Elections
2.5%D Sabato
0.0%D RCP

HOUSE

House ratings changes:

Cook

AR-02: Lean R to Likely R →
CA-01: Solid R to Likely R ←
CA-22: Solid R to Likely R ←
FL-18: Likely R to Lean R ←
IA-04: Likely R to Lean R ←
OH-01: Toss Up to Lean R →

Inside Elections

FL-26: Lean R to Toss Up ←

NC-09: Lean R to Toss Up ←

NJ-07: Lean R to Toss Up ←

UT-04: Lean R to Toss Up ←

KS-03: Toss Up to Lean D ←

NH-01: Toss Up to Lean D ←
NJ-11: Toss Up to Lean D ←

FL-15: Lean R to Tilt R ←

IL-14: Lean R to Tilt R ←

OH-01: Lean R to Tilt R ←

CA-50: Likely R to Lean R ←

FL-06: Likely R to Lean R ←

GA-06: Likely R to Lean R ←

GA-07: Likely R to Lean R ←

MN-08: Toss Up to Lean R →

NC-02: Tilt R to Lean R →

NY-11: Likely R to Lean R ←

NY-24: Likely R to Lean R ←

WA-05: Lean R to Likely R →

Real Clear Politics

PA-17: Lean D to Likely D ←

NC-13: Toss Up to Lean R →

CA-21: Lean R to Likely R →

SC-01: Safe R to Likely R ←

IA-04: Safe R to Likely R ←

NV-04: Lean D to Toss Up ←
MT-01: Lean R to Toss Up ←

Analyst-based Odds for House Control now all point to the Democrats:
77.8%D Cook 
65.0%D Inside Elections
82.8%D Sabato
73.5%D RCP