Senate
Poll-basedNew polls in NV Heller+7, MD Cardin+27, UT Romney+36
Chance Democratic control: 0.0%
Market-based
Generally minor changes. Biggest change: NV 39%D down from 45%D
Analyst-based
No changes
House
RCP chance of Democratic control: 76.7%D up from 69.8%DNC-13 Leans GOP »»» Toss Up
NJ-11 Toss Up »»» Leans Dem
NV-03 Leans Dem »»» Toss Up
IL-14 Leans GOP »»» Toss Up
Who's going to tell Cook that North Dakota is a 0% chance and it's still listed as a toss-up at https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings ?
ReplyDeleteWell, the latest ND poll does indicate a 0.0%D probability and the market-based odds are 18%D. I'm not sure what other factors Cook may be looking at ... but, Inside Elections, Sabato and RCP have already moved the race to Tilt R, Lean R and Lean R.
ReplyDelete